So the day after, what’s there to say about the Dutch election results?

I can get why the American media is gone after an hour the results are in, it’s either ‘A’ or terrifying  ‘B’ that wins in the US. No middle ground there, but here we have potpourri of results and all kinds of possible governing coalitions for the future. So let’s help you international readers make sense of this multiparty system and our Dutch election results.

1. Dutch election results fact #1 WILDERS WON

(but also lost)

Yep, he won! Sure, not projected win of 40 seats of a few months back, and the right wing competitor of the VVD is now by far the biggest party. But Geert ‘No Plan’ Wilders won a few seats and still has like 15% of the people voting for them. As it stands now, he’s also not going to be in any coalition, so for now his dirty populism power drive is checked. He did however drive the locus of Dutch politics more to the right.

Geert Wilders

NOPE

2. The Dutch election results themselves

So big is the relief of Wilders not winning this one that we completely forgot to look at the more of less definitive results, seats might change by 1 or even 2. For example, this upcoming Tuesday we will know if Eelco Keij from D66 and his preferential campaign won him a seat in parliament.

Dutch election results

Source: wikipedia

And more interesting if you care about your own region, here’s how the country voted. Notice those D66/GL bubbles, probably where a lot of our readers are at.

The NOS has a nice tool with all the results. Oh, and this is the Dutch election results according to age groups:

 

3. The PvdA is WRECKED

Normally one of the three biggest parties, and the dominant force in the nineties – the PvdA is decimated and goes from 38 to a measly 9 seats. They took several hits:

  1. Progressive voters in the cities flocked to Groen Links and D66.
  2. Turkish and Moroccan voters for a part went for DENK, losing 3 seats there
  3. They normally have a huge powerbase in the North, such as Groningen. Due to being in the government and not helping out the North with their gas problems this powerbase is now obliterated.

4. The Netherlands has become a bit more right-winged and conservative

There may be some rejoicing with Wilders not winning the elections and Jesse Klaver scoring a nice 14 seats. But if you look a bit closer you can see that conservative parties have a majority of the seats. The three biggest parties are right wing parties and the VVD is double the size of Jesse Klaver’s Groen Links.

4 years in the Dutch opposition will make you old Jesse

And while economic policies will probably continue as business as usual, it’s spells a dark future for progressive liberal plans regarding the liberalization of soft-drugs, euthanasia and the organ donor law.

5. Some cities really live in a liberal leftist bubble

Do you live in Amsterdam, Utrecht, Leiden, Groningen, or Delft? Welcome to D66 and Groen Links country you can now see that very same progressive bubble in these cities as you saw in New York and Los Angeles. Funny thing is that the influence of these cities in the media is so big that you would think way more people vote for these progressive parties. Guess not.

No such troubles in Rotterdam by the way, the VVD just clinches a win there – but barely because the PVV is almost just as big. The Erdogan lovers of DENK are bigger than the Labour party there in what used to be a Labour bulwark.

Anyways, more reflections coming up! Such as that crazy high turn-out! What do you think of the election results?

  • Jennifer Curtiss

    I’d say it’s not that strange for right wing parties to come out ahead at the moment. When times are uncertain, people tend to look for stability and solid lines to be drawn – which is typically what the right advertises. I’m by no means a political scientist, but in my opinion, if the right continues to lead in all areas in five years, then I’d say it’s safe to suggest it’s a shift in the Netherlands’ general attitude. For now though, current trends are nothing too crazy. The difference in votes based on age range seems fairly consistent with other countries too, as are the liberal bubbles in the cities.

    That said, I do think it’s important to address the issue of Geert Wilders. Ignoring him and his voters isn’t wise and I hope that the EU across the board will learn to tackle far right thinking effectively rather than sweeping it under the rug. Likewise, I hope that the EU will recognise the problems that extremist Islamism creates as well. We need a moderate and rational response to both. Perhaps it’s time to champion secularism and liberalism as shared values again, rather than taking them for granted.

  • Stuart

    Yep. There were a lot of people saying the result was a rejection of Wilders and his views but I think that’s a little too simplistic of a way to look at it. Yes, he lost (which is good) but he still got a better personal result that the last election. Support for his has grown. Hopefully it won’t grow enough for next time.